Retail traders and macro-curious investors rely on two disconnected tools to read central-bank rate expectations: CME FedWatch for the Fed and ECB Watch for the ECB. Both have the same four gaps:
- No historical probability tracking. You see today's odds but can't see how they moved last week.
- Fragmented. No single product covers Fed and ECB.
- Dated UX. Dense tables, poor mobile, no sharing.
- No engagement loop. No alerts, no widgets, no iOS app.
RateRadar fixes all four. We combine Fed + ECB in a modern interface, expose 60 days of historical probability charts, and make every meeting snapshot shareable. Coming soon: a native iOS app with home-screen widgets and meeting-day push notifications.
How we stay honest
Every number you see is computed in-house from licensed-free futures and OIS prices, using the public CME methodology. We don't scrape CME or ECB Watch. Every snapshot is validated against live data; divergences are logged and fixed.
How we stay free
Ads (Google AdSense / AdMob on iOS) and transparent broker affiliate partnerships (see /brokers) cover the infrastructure costs. A Pro tier with custom alerts, CSV/API export, and advanced conditional scenarios is planned for later.
Source code
RateRadar is developed openly at github.com/lawoflarge/rateradar. Feedback and bug reports welcome via GitHub issues.
Not financial advice
RateRadar shows what the market is pricing. It doesn't predict what central banks will actually decide. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade, invest, or change your financial plans.