Retail traders and macro-curious investors rely on two disconnected tools to read central-bank rate expectations: CME FedWatch for the Fed and ECB Watch for the ECB. Both have the same four gaps:
- No historical probability tracking. You see today's odds but can't see how they moved last week.
- Fragmented. No single product covers Fed and ECB.
- Dated UX. Dense tables, poor mobile, no sharing.
- No engagement loop. No alerts, no widgets, no iOS app.
RateRadar addresses all four. We combine Fed and ECB in one interface, expose 60 days of historical probability charts, and make every meeting snapshot shareable. The native iPhone app is live on the App Store and adds meeting reminders and sharp move alerts. There is no home screen widget yet.
How we stay honest
Every number you see is computed in-house from licensed-free futures and OIS prices, using the public CME methodology. We don't scrape CME or ECB Watch. Every snapshot is validated against live data; divergences are logged and fixed.
How we stay free
Ads (Google AdSense / AdMob on iOS) and transparent broker affiliate partnerships (see /brokers) cover the infrastructure costs. A Pro tier with custom alerts, CSV/API export, and advanced conditional scenarios is planned for later.
Source code
RateRadar is developed openly at github.com/lawoflarge/rateradar. Feedback and bug reports welcome via GitHub issues.
Not financial advice
RateRadar shows what the market is pricing. It doesn't predict what central banks will actually decide. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade, invest, or change your financial plans.