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Probabilities are computed in house from 30 Day Fed Funds Futures and euro short-term rate data, then refreshed twice per business day. They describe what the market is pricing, not what a central bank will decide. RateRadar is informational and is not financial advice.

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Federal Reserve (FOMC)

Next FOMC Meeting: Wednesday, December 9, 2026

Markets price a 76% chance the Fed will move +25bp at the Dec 9, 2026 meeting.

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Next meeting · outcome distribution

Will the Fed cut rates on Dec 9, 2026?

Wednesday, December 9, 2026

FOMC meeting · FED

Most likely
+25bp · 76%
OutcomeProbabilityMovedPost-meeting rate
-50bp0.0%·3.380%
-25bp0.0%·3.630%
Hold24.0%·3.880%
+25bp76.0%·4.130%
+50bp0.0%·4.380%
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Upcoming 2026 FOMC meetings
  • Wednesday, December 9, 2026+25bp · 76%

Probabilities are computed from Fed Funds futures and update twice per business day. See methodology. Not financial advice.