Federal Reserve (FOMC)
Next FOMC Meeting: Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Markets price a 62% chance the Fed will hold rates at the Jul 29, 2026 meeting.
Next meeting · outcome distribution
Will the Fed cut rates on Jul 29, 2026?
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
FOMC meeting · FED
Most likely
Hold · 62%
| Outcome | Probability | Moved | Post-meeting rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -50bp | 0.0% | · | 3.125% | |
| -25bp | 0.0% | · | 3.375% | |
| Hold | 62.0% | · | 3.625% | |
| +25bp | 38.0% | · | 3.875% | |
| +50bp | 0.0% | · | 4.125% |
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Upcoming 2026 FOMC meetings