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Track Fed and ECB odds on your iPhone

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Probabilities are computed in house from 30 Day Fed Funds Futures and euro short-term rate data, then refreshed twice per business day. They describe what the market is pricing, not what a central bank will decide. RateRadar is informational and is not financial advice.

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Glossary

Priced in

When markets have already adjusted futures prices to reflect an expected outcome, that outcome is 'priced in'. Actual moves that are fully priced in tend not to move asset prices much; surprises do.

See it in action on the live probability tracker or read the full methodology.
Download on the App StoreEvery term is explained inside the free iPhone app too.
Related terms
  • Hawkish / Dovish
  • Terminal rate
  • Conditional probability
  • Implied rate path
← All glossary terms